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  • London Olympics pollution on course to land Britain hefty fine from IOC

    Air pollution is such in London that drastic measures would be required before 'greenest ever Games' to avoid £175m fine

    • Toxic waste clean-up on Olympic site cost taxpayers £12.7m

     Sunday 24 April 2011 18.03 BST

    A 'low emission zone' sign in London.
    Even a 30% reduction in normal traffic during the Olympics would not bring emissions down to a legal limit, a report has said. Photograph: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

    Britain could be fined up to £175m by the International Olympic Committee if it continues to break air pollution laws by the time the Games begin next August.

    The prospect of the air pollution penalty is becoming a major source of embarrassment to the government and Olympic organisers who set a goal of making the Games "the greenest ever" but have already watered down green measures planned for the event.

    To meet the legally binding agreement, London may have to reduce traffic levels by more than 30% over a period of nearly a month, raising the possibility of draconian measures such as banning cars with number plates ending in odd and even numbers on alternate days.

    Under the non-negotiable host city contract with the IOC – signed by the government and the mayor of London in 2005 – the IOC can withhold 25% of the expected £700m broadcasting income generated from the Games should air quality levels exceed EU limits during the games.

    The contract has been given a temporary extension until later this year by the EU for the reduction of levels of small particulate matter (PM10), but has so far failed to find a way to do so and London risks a £300m fine from the European commission later this year.

    London is one of the most polluted cities in Europe, with official studies showing that air pollution – mainly from traffic – causes more premature deaths than passive smoking and traffic accidents combined, at a cost of about £2bn a year.

    According to the Olympic Delivery Authority's Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA), published this week, the expected increases in traffic along the Olympic route network of 600km of London roads during the Games will lead to further breaches of European legal limits in areas that already suffer from poor air quality.

    Even a 30% reduction in normal traffic during the period of the Olympics may not be enough to bring emissions below the legal limit, it said.

    Lawyers said London now has few options left beyond actions such as imposing an odd and even number plate ban throughout the city to enable endurance events, such as the marathon, to take place.

    At the last Olympic Games, in 2008, Beijing had to ban more than 1m cars and close factories.

    "The SEA shows that there is a real risk that the Games will result in air quality laws being broken in London in 2012," Alan Andrews, a lawyer with the legal group Client Earth, said.

    "By failing to take this risk seriously, the government and the mayor are painting themselves into a corner. If air quality limits look like being broken, it's difficult to see what they will be able to do other than impose draconian bans like those used during Beijing 2008.

    "Plans need to be put in place now that will ban only the most polluting vehicles from inner London in time for the Games."

    "The mayor should be banning all the oldest diesel vehicles from inner London," Simon Birkett, the director of the Campaign for Clean Air in London, said.

    The commitments on air quality contained in the contract with the IOC apply in particular to those days when endurance events such as the marathon, the triathlon and the cycling road race take place.

    Officials had hoped that reduced traffic during the August holiday season, plus pleas to the public and businesses to change their habits for the duration of the Games, would help reduce pollution.

    "It is clearly a problem. It's not London 2012's responsibility, or in its gift to solve it, but it is clearly a problem," Shaun McCarthy, the chair of the Commission for a Sustainable London 2012, an independent body advising the Mayor of London and the Olympics minister, said.

    The green impact the Olympics would have here and abroad was a central component of London's winning bid over other cities such as Paris.

    It was intended that the infrastructure and built environment of the Games "will be designed to take account of the potential impacts of climate change and will set new standards for sustainable production, consumption and recycling of natural resources. There will also be significant long-term benefits in terms of projects, applications of green technologies".

    But some promises have already apparently been broken and compromises made. A pledge to generate 20% of energy on site, mainly from a wind turbine in the Olympic park, has been abandoned and, at most, 9% of energy on site will be from renewables.

    Plans to create a zero-waste Games, with all on-site waste recycled, have been reduced, and the athletes' village will be smaller and less green than hoped.

    "This is a terrible admission of defeat on air pollution and contradicts all the mayor's promises about the 'greenest games ever'," Darren Johnson, a London assembly Green party member, said.

    "Failing to deliver modest energy and waste targets on a seven-year project with billions from the public purse just shows what a mess our mayors of London and the government have made of environmental policy.

    "The organisers have failed on many of the promises. They are a long way short of the inspirational revolution in environmental policy we were promised." said Darren Johnson, London assembly Green party member.

    The ODA head of sustainability, Richard Jackson, said: "The Olympic park has set new standards. With the exception of the 20% renewables target, we are on track to meet all sustainability targets."

    A spokesperson for Transport for London said: "We have a comprehensive package of long-term measures to tackle the biggest sources of pollution and improve air quality."

    via guardian.co.uk

     

    Boom and bust signals ecosystem collapse

    e

    Largemouth bassThe name "largemouth bass" appears to suit the fish

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    An experiment in a US lake suggests that ecosystem collapses could be predicted, given the right monitoring.
    Researchers changed the structure of the food web in Peter Lake, in Wisconsin, by adding predatory fish.
    Within three years, the fish had taken over, producing a decline in tiny water plants and an explosion in water fleas.
    Writing in the journal Science, the researchers say the change was preceded by signals that could be used to predict similar collapses elsewhere.
    In particular, rapid swings in the density of plants and fleas indicated the food web was unstable and about to change.
    The idea that such early warning signals ought to exist is not new - but the researchers say this is the first time it has been demonstrated experimentally.
    "For a long time, ecologists thought these changes couldn't be predicted," said research leader Stephen Carpenter from the University of Wisconsin in Madison, US.
    "But we've now shown that they can be foreseen. The early warning is clear; it is a strong signal."
    Peter and Paul
    The Peter Lake food web contained four key components. Insects such as fleas ate tiny water-borne plants, small fish such as golden shiners ate the fleas, and much bigger largemouth bass ate the little fish.

    Start Quot

    Beginning in 2008, the researchers began to add more bass, and more than a thousand hatched the following year.
    Sensing the threat from these predators, the golden shiners began to spend more time in the shallows or sheltering under floating logs.
    Larger fleas moved in, eating the floating plants (phytoplankton).
    But the changes were anything but smooth, with wildly varying numbers of fleas and phytoplankton seen at different times.
    Eventually, by late 2010, the ecosystem appeared to have finalised its transition from one stable state to another.
    This second state, dominated by fleas and largemouth bass, is similar to the situation that had existed for years in neighbouring Lake Paul.
    This lake showed no major changes during the three years, indicating that the changes seen in Peter really were caused by the addition of bass.
    Banks collapse
    Many natural systems appear capable of existing in more than one stable state.
    study lakeLakes Peter and Paul in Wisconsin have a 50-year history of use for ecological research
    Until 20 years ago, the Grand Banks off Canada's east coast were dominated by cod - so many as to prevent the growth of other species.
    Overfishing caused the cod population to collapse.
    Other species have since taken their prime position, some of which predate on juvenile cod - perhaps meaning that the prized fish will never return to their former dominance.
    The new research suggests it might be possible to detect signals of such a coming crash before it happened.
    "Early warning signs help you prepare for, and hopefully prevent, the worst case scenario," said Jonathan Cole from the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies near New York, another of the scientists involved.
    "We are surrounded by problems caused by ecological regime shifts - water supply shortages, fishery declines, unproductive rangeland - and our study shows that there is promise in identifying these changes before they reach their tipping point."
    The principle may have been proved, but the application would still appear to be some way away.
    Monitoring any ecosystem with the intensity used at Peter Lake will be expensive, although the ever growing fleet of Earth observation satellites could help in some cases.
    Even more problematic is knowing which early warning signs apply in which ecosystem.

    Shuttle Endeavour set for final flight

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    Nasa is preparing to launch its Endeavour shuttle one last time.
    The youngest of America's reusable orbiters is set to deliver a $2bn (£1.2bn) particle physics experiment to the International Space Station (ISS).
    Once it completes its 14-day mission, Endeavour will be retired to a museum in Los Angeles.
    That will leave just the Atlantis shuttle still in active service. It is expected to make a final outing in the next few months.
    The US space agency is withdrawing the orbiters to make way for a fleet of vehicles provided by the commercial sector later this decade.
    Lift-off for Endeavour and her crew of six is targeted for 1547 local time (1947 GMT; 2047 BST) on Friday from the Kennedy Space Center, Florida.
    The ship is commanded by Mark Kelly. His wife, Arizona Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, currently recovering from a gunshot wound to the head, has travelled to the Space Coast to see the ascent. US President Barack Obama is also expected to be present at Kennedy.
    AMS magnet
    Endeavour was built to replace the Challenger ship which was lost, along with her crew of seven, in a catastrophic accident in 1986.
    This final flight is the vessel's 25th overall, having already clocked a cumulative distance in space of 166 million km - an expanse just greater than that which divides the Earth and the Sun.
    "We're going to take Endeavour out for about five or six million more miles," said US Navy Captain Kelly.
    "It's already got about 110 million miles on it, and after 25 flights we'll hopefully land here [at Kennedy] and then Endeavour's done with its service to the country."
    Notable highlights in the ship's career have included the first construction mission to the ISS by a US orbiter, and the first servicing mission to the Hubble Space Telescope. The latter carried up the equipment to correct the flaw in the observatory's vision, enabling it to take breathtaking images of the cosmos.
    Nasa is hoping the payload inside Endeavour for its final mission will deliver equally astonishing science.
    The Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS) has taken 17 years to prepare for launch. It has been constructed by an international collaboration of researchers across 16 nations.

    SPACE SHUTTLE ENDEAVOUR

    Shuttle Endeavour
    • Endeavour was the last orbiter to be built and flew its maiden voyage on 7 May, 1992
    • It is named for the ship commanded by the British explorer James Cook from 1769 to 1771
    • Total space time to date: 280 days; Total Earth orbits: 4,429; Individual crew members: 133
    • Made the first American ISS construction flight, delivering the Unity Module
    • Carried out the mission to correct the Hubble Space Telescope's flawed vision
    • Its radar map of the planet is one of the most used Earth-observation data-sets ever acquired
    The machine will be fixed to the top of the ISS where it will undertake a comprehensive survey of cosmic rays - ultra-high-energy particles that bombard the Earth from all reaches of the Universe.
    It will search for exotic phenomena - anti-matter, dark mater and strange matter. Their detection could yield fascinating new insights into how the cosmos was born and why it takes the form it does now.
    "All our understanding of the cosmos has come from measuring light rays," said Professor Sam Ting, the AMS principal investigator.
    "Charged particles have never been studied systematically for long durations. Balloons and small satellites just hint at what's going on.
    "This is the first time we've put in an accurate detector to study the other half. What you will see we don't know because you're entering a new field with a precise detector."
    The survey should also provide the best assessment yet of some of the radiation dangers that exist in space. This information will prove invaluable as space agencies attempt in the coming decades to send astronaut missions to asteroids, the Moon, Mars and beyond.
    Endeavour's final mission marks an important moment also for the European Space Agency (Esa). Italian Roberto Vitorri is the sole non-US citizen in the crew and will be the last non-American to board a space shuttle (Atlantis will have an all-American crew of four).
    Esa, which does not have its own crew transportation system, has been heavily reliant on the orbiters to get its astronauts into orbit.
    Vitorri, who will operate the shuttle robotic arm on this mission, will become one of only 24 Europeans to have taken the ride.
    M100 GalaxyBefore Endeavour's mission to Hubble, the telescope was returning blurred pictures
    Esa astronauts will have far fewer opportunities to experience the journey to orbit in the years ahead as everyone waits for the new generation of US commercial launch systems to come online.
    Nasa hopes that these "crew taxis" will help reduce the cost of access to low-Earth orbit.
    "The shuttle is an extraordinarily expensive vehicle and it is not that safe, and those are the two reasons why we are moving on to something else," commented Michael Foale, one of the most experienced astronauts in the history of US spaceflight.
    "We don't know what that something else is yet, but we're moving on. Because eventually for that amount of money and for that much risk, people believe you can do better - and I do, too; I think we can do better," he told BBC News.
    One recent estimate, reported in the journal Nature, calculated that the entire shuttle programme has cost the American taxpayer close to $200bn over the past 40 years.

    US storms: Barack Obama to visit tornado-hit Tuscaloosa

    29 April 2011 Last updated at 
    06:16 GMT

    President Barack Obama is to visit storm-ravaged communities in Alabama as south-eastern US states face up to the aftermath of devastating storms.
    At least 297 people are known to have died from tornadoes that ripped through a swathe of states, 204 in Alabama.
    Mr Obama will visit Tuscaloosa, Alabama, where a twister thought to be a mile wide ploughed through the city.
    He has pledged government support for storm-hit communities, with federal aid money being sent to Alabama.
    Deaths and widespread devastation are also reported in Tennessee, Mississippi, Georgia and Virginia.
    On Thursday the president hailed rescue workers and said he stood with every American affected by the "catastrophic" storms.
    A state of emergency has been declared in seven states, and federal aid money is being sent to Alabama.
    'Reeling'
    Speaking at a news conference at the White House, Mr Obama said: "The loss of life has been heartbreaking, especially in Alabama.
    "In a matter of hours, these deadly tornadoes, some of the worst we have seen in decades, took mothers and fathers, sons and daughters, friends and neighbours, even entire communities.
    Continue reading the main story

    Confirmed deaths by state

    • Alabama: 210
    • Mississippi: 33
    • Tennessee: 33
    • Georgia: 15
    • Virginia: 5
    • Kentucky: 1
    Source: Associated Press, BBC reporting
    • In pictures: Deadly US storms
    "In many places the damage to homes and businesses is nothing short of catastrophic," he said.
    The president said he would travel to Alabama to meet those leading the emergency response and families who are "reeling from the disaster".
    "I want every American who has been affected by this disaster to know that the federal government will do everything we can to help you recover, and we will stand with you as you rebuild," he said.
    The US National Weather Service has reports of nearly 300 tornadoes since the storms began on Friday, more than 150 of them on Wednesday alone.
    The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center has said some of the tornadoes on Wednesday may have been more than a mile (1.6 km) wide with wind speeds over 200 mph (320 km/h).
    "These were the most intense super-cell thunderstorms that I think anybody who was out there forecasting has ever seen," Greg Carbin of the Storm Prediction Center in Oklahoma told the Associated Press (AP) news agency.
    In Alabama, as many as one million people were without power on Thursday, as emergency workers and 2,000 soldiers scoured the wreckage for survivors.
    "We can't control when or where a terrible storm may strike, but we can control how we respond to it," Mr Obama said.
    Many people were picking through the remains of destroyed homes.
    Click to play

    President Obama: "The loss of life has been heartbreaking, especially in Alabama"
    Alabama Governor Robert Bentley said he expected the death toll to rise as more bodies were discovered.
    The number of deaths from the recent series of tornadoes is the greatest in the US since 1974, when an sequence of twisters claimed 315 lives in 13 US states.
    Devastation in Tuscaloosa
    One of the worst-hit towns was Tuscaloosa, which was struck by a massive tornado some experts say could have been an EF5, the strongest category of tornado.
    Mayor Walter Maddox said after an aerial tour that it had torn a streak of "utter destruction".
    "We have neighbourhoods that have been basically removed from the map," he said.
    The city's emergency building was one of those destroyed, AP reported.
    One Tuscaloosa resident, Angela Smith, whose neighbour was killed, told Reuters: "I made it. I got in a closet, put a pillow over my face and held on for dear life because it started sucking me up."

    Click to play

    Storms lash southern US
    Another town, Hackleburg, was reported to be "90% destroyed".
    The mayor of Birmingham, William Bell said "whole neighbourhoods of housing, just completely gone. Churches, gone. Businesses, gone... [it] seems like a bomb has been dropped".
    More than 25 people died in Phil Campbell, a town of about 1,000 in north-west Alabama.
    Jerry Mays, the town's mayor, said the tornado that destroyed the town's grocery store and medical clinic was a half-mile wide and travelled for about 20 miles (32 km).
    "We've lost everything. Let's just say it like it is," Mr Mays said.
    "I'm afraid we might have some suicides because of this," he added.
    The storms forced the Tennessee Valley Authority to close three nuclear reactors at a power plant in Alabama. Hundreds of thousands of homes have lost power as a result.
    Mississippi reported 33 deaths on Tuesday and Wednesday. In Smithville, Mississippi, many buildings were ripped open, including a church, the city hall and the post office.
    At least 14 people have been killed in Georgia and five in Virginia.
    BBC storm map
    Are you in any of the US southern states? Have you been affected by the tornadoes and storms? Send us your comments and experiences.
    Send your pictures and videos to yourpics@bbc.co.uk or text them to 61124 (UK) or +44 7725 100 100 (International). If you have a large file you can upload here.

    Babies born in spring are slightly more likely to develop anorexia nervosa, while those born in the autumn have a lower risk, say researchers

     Last updated at 23:04 GMT
    Flowers in springSpring babies have a slightly higher incidence of anorexia nervosa.


    A report published in the British Journal of Psychiatry suggests temperature, sunlight, infection or the mother's diet could be responsible.
    Other academics said the effect was small and the disorder had many causes.
    The researchers analysed data from four previous studies including 1,293 people with anorexia.
    The researchers found an "excess of anorexia nervosa births" between March and June - for every seven anorexia cases expected, there were in fact eight.
    There were also fewer than expected cases in September and October.
    Dr Lahiru Handunnetthi, one of the report's authors, at the Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, said: "A number of previous studies have found that mental illnesses such as schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and major depression are more common among those born in the spring - so this finding in anorexia is perhaps not surprising.
    Screening methods
    "However, our study only provides evidence of an association. Now we need more research to identify which factors are putting people at particular risk."
    The report suggests seasonal changes in temperature, sunlight exposure and vitamin D levels, maternal nutrition and infections as "strong candidate factors".
    Dr Terence Dovey, from the Centre for Research into Eating Disorders, at Loughborough University, said: "Anorexia is a very complex multifaceted disorder," adding that the study looked at just one aspect.
    "Should we concentrate screening methods to those born in the winter months? No, we should not. It leaves too much error of margin and the potential significant difference is only small."

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